Hi Reader

One of the fundamental truths of human progress is this:

👉 The real benefit of any new technology goes to the early adopters — the first few who use it.

As it becomes widely adopted, the advantage shrinks… and eventually disappears.

This is not just about technology adoption but it comes from the feild psychology, of scarcity, and game theory.

Let me explain this in details in this post,

as this has helped me to adopt to various new tech when launched and gain BIG advantages over my career!

1.When You’re Early, The Advantage is Pure Scarcity Power

Consider what everyone can relate to, i,e Cars.

3 decades back when cars were few in India, the people who had access to buy, could

✔ Go faster

✔ Save time

✔ Reach opportunities others can’t

✔ Have an edge over everyone else

Why?

Because car owner possess something rare → and anything rare creates power.

Scarcity = Power.

Abundance = Neutral.

This is Scarcity Principle in real life.

But now that everyone has a car, the advantage (related to time) collapses.

Now:

❌ There’s traffic

❌ Delays

❌ You’re back to equal

The advantage didn’t disappear. It migrated — from having a car → to having something else others don’t.

2. Scarcity Advantage Applies to Every Tool Ever Invented

The pattern repeats across history:

Early adopters of email?

10x productivity. Late adopters? Inbox flooded. No advantage.

Early adopters of Google Ads?

₹1 per click. Mass adoption → ₹50–₹150 per click. Advantage disappears.

Early adopters of smartphones?

Edge in communication, access, speed. Now everyone has one. Neutral.

Early adopters of social media?

Huge organic reach. Today? Saturated feeds. Pay-to-reach.

The timeline of advantage always collapses.

Why?

Because psychological scarcity disappears.

When everyone can do something, nobody stands out.

3. AI is Following the Same Curve — But 10x Faster

With AI, the scarcity window is ultra-short.

Today: If you know how to build with AI → You get exponential leverage.

But very soon:

✔ Every competitor

✔ Every employee

✔ Every company

✔ Every freelancer

…will have access to the same tools.

Once adoption becomes mainstream:

Output equalizes. Productivity becomes a commodity. Tools no longer differentiate

Just like owning a car in a city full of cars. The only people who gain are the early movers.

4.Why Many Miss This: The Psychological Blindspot

We have two biases that make lose the advantage:

A. “I’ll adopt it later” bias

We assume the advantage will exist when we finally decide to use it. But advantage is time-sensitive.

B. “Tools alone give benefit” bias

Tools don’t give advantage. Being early with the tool gives advantage. When scarcity disappears, value disappears

Scarcity advantage compounds.

The Window is Narrow — And Closing Fast

The curve of any new technological advantage looks like:

AI compresses this cycle from years → months → weeks.

Meaning:

👉 If you are not building with AI today, you are already late.

👉 If you start in 2026, the advantage is gone.

👉 If you wait for “perfect tools,” competitors will overtake you.

5. The New Scarcity: Thinking, Not Tools

When everyone has:

GPT-6, Gemini Ultra, Claude 4.5, Perplexity AGI, Open-source agents

…the tool won’t matter.

Your thinking will. The real scarcity is:

1. Clarity
2. Better prompts
3. Problem framing
4. Domain expertise
5. Judgment
6. Ability to build systems with AI

Tools will be free. Capabilities will be abundant. But thinking will still be scarce.

This is what creates the new power curve.

6. The Only Sustainable Advantage in AI Era

There is only one advantage that remains when tools are commoditized:

The quality of your mind. Tools don’t differentiate you anymore. Your ability to think, design, structure, and build with tools does.

This is why the winners in the AI era will be:

• People who think deeply
• People who clarify problems
• People who know how to structure workflows
• People who transform ideas into tools

Not the ones who merely “use AI.”

7. The Big Message

👉 Early adopters of AI will dominate.

👉 Late adopters will drown in competition.

👉 The window of advantage is closing.

👉 Scarcity advantage belongs to those who act now.

If you want to gain the real advantage, don’t wait for AI to mature. Use it while it’s still scarce.

Because in the AI age: It’s not about learning tools. It’s about mastering thinking.

To Your Success

Prashanth G

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